TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13155405
Played Sep 18Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117118411211311
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 79 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 70.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 1–11 Vitezslav Bosak Roman Guliak has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bosak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-11 in 12
Bosak
Correct
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1407 vs Bosak 1423
Bosak
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 40% vs Bosak 80%
Bosak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 40% vs Bosak 60%
Bosak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +2 · Bosak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Bosak) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.63 / Bosak 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Bosak)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13155405
Guliak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Bosak1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 73 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak1wins
AwayBosak9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBosak leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak25%1 of 4
AwayBosak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak4Bosak6n = 10Bosak took 6 of 10
S2Guliak2Bosak8n = 10Bosak took 8 of 10
S3Guliak7Bosak3n = 10Guliak took 7 of 10
S4Guliak0Bosak8n = 8Bosak took 8 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakBosakG − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.041.1−5.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 678 vs 180 / 36549.6%49.3%336 / 678 vs 180 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakGuliak 2.63/Bosak 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 21:29R. Guliak34971171V. Bosak3611113113
WAug 22 · 19:00R. Guliak331111113V. Bosak208660
LAug 10 · 18:30R. Guliak408913101V. Bosak45111111123
LAug 8 · 13:00R. Guliak371181171V. Bosak4413119113
LAug 8 · 10:30R. Guliak36129961V. Bosak43101111113
LAug 1 · 10:30R. Guliak296101121V. Bosak4311129113
LAug 1 · 06:00R. Guliak226970V. Bosak331111113
LJul 14 · 18:00R. Guliak4991411872V. Bosak521112711113
LJun 6 · 09:30R. Guliak33149911V. Bosak45121111113
LJun 6 · 06:30R. Guliak47111211492V. Bosak50514911113
R. Guliak10
WSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182LSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113WSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak1.33571181D. Priesol3.2511116113WSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113
V. Bosak10
WSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113WSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171WSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960LSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360WSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113
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