TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154924
Played Sep 18Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711119911––
Tomas Milkov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Tomas Milkov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 4–3 Tomas Milkov Tomas Milkov has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Guliak beat Milkov 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.83 / Milkov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guliak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154924
Guliak1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Milkov1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGuliak4wins
AwayMilkov3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderGuliak leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak80%4 of 5
AwayMilkovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak5Milkov2n = 7Guliak took 5 of 7
S2Guliak5Milkov2n = 7Guliak took 5 of 7
S3Guliak3Milkov4n = 7Milkov took 4 of 7
S4Guliak2Milkov4n = 6Milkov took 4 of 6
S5Guliak2Milkov2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGuliakMilkovG − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match43.941.4+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakMilkovBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 675 vs 85 / 17349.5%49.1%334 / 675 vs 85 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.83/Milkov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Milkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 18 · 14:30R. Guliak331111113T. Milkov248880
LJul 12 · 06:30R. Guliak4311117682T. Milkov51991111113
WApr 17 · 20:59R. Guliak5911111610113T. Milkov5168181272
WApr 17 · 20:30R. Guliak47115911113T. Milkov4391111572
WFeb 25 · 16:30R. Guliak43111110113T. Milkov29571251
LFeb 22 · 12:30R. Guliak341061171T. Milkov4012116113
LJan 15 · 19:00R. Guliak48714111062T. Milkov521112612113
R. Guliak10
WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182LSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113WSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak1.33571181D. Priesol3.2511116113WSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113LSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090LSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591
T. Milkov10
LSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161LSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950LSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101
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