Michal Koral vs Tomas Milkov 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13021335

Played Aug 27Finished

Michal Koral

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1174119111113––

Tomas Milkov

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Tomas Milkov to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMichal Koral above · Tomas Milkov below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-13

Point 77 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Tomas Milkov at 54.0%

77 points played in total.

H2H Michal Koral 3–1 Tomas Milkov Tomas Milkov has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 3–1Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 14:51

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Milkov

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-1 in 4

Koral

Wrong

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Koral 1509 vs Milkov 1506

Koral

Wrong

both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Koral 60% vs Milkov 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Koral 40% vs Milkov 60%

Milkov

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Koral -1 · Milkov -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Milkov)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKoral 1.83 / Milkov 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Milkov)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13021335

Koral1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Milkov1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeKoral3wins

AwayMilkov1wins

3 of 4 to a deciderKoral leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKoraln = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayMilkov33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Koral1Milkov3n = 4Milkov took 3 of 4

S2Koral3Milkov1n = 4Koral took 3 of 4

S3Koral2Milkov2n = 4split evenly

S4Koral1Milkov3n = 4Milkov took 3 of 4

S5Koral3Milkov0n = 3Koral took 3 of 3

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home375%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricKoralMilkovK − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match47.045.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKoralMilkovBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 187 vs 83 / 16452.4%50.6%98 / 187 vs 83 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Milkov

Koral 1.83/Milkov 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Milkov · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Milkov won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WJul 7 · 09:00M. Koral—8111110113T. Milkov—11791262

WJul 7 · 07:00M. Koral—1311911113T. Milkov—15911852

WMay 11 · 11:30M. Koral—1111911113T. Milkov—86111382

LMar 16 · 09:00M. Koral—981111T. Milkov—11118113

M. Koral10

WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113 LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162 LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113 WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113 WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113 LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113 LAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182 LAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral1.73661181V. Bosak2.0011115113 LAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082 WAug 30 · 20:30M. Koral1.80119119113V. Bosak1.9191181122

T. Milkov10

LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113 WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113 LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731 LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113 LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181 LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101 WAug 27 · 18:30T. Milkov1.91111313113I. Taichman1.8013111181 LAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov1.538990P. Hanel2.381111113 WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov1.611511143P. Hanel2.20136120 WAug 18 · 19:00T. Milkov1.618111112113T. Kraninger2.20119131072

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