TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449944
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Milkov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
15131161412––––
Patrik Hanel
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Milkov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milkov above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 71 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Tomas Milkov at 57.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milkov 2–0 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Milkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Milkov 1500 vs Hanel 1482
Milkov
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milkov 60% vs Hanel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milkov 60% vs Hanel 40%
Milkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milkov +3 · Hanel +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Milkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilkov 1.61 / Hanel 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Milkov)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449944
Milkov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 27 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Hanel2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 21 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMilkov2wins
AwayHanel0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMilkov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMilkovHanelM − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match48.038.5+9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilkovHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 160 vs 42 / 8650.6%48.8%81 / 160 vs 42 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilkovMilkov 1.61/Hanel 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Milkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Milkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 13 · 19:00T. Milkov—11119113P. Hanel—481151
WJul 16 · 19:00T. Milkov—1111711143P. Hanel—941113122
T. Milkov10
LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101WAug 27 · 18:30T. Milkov1.91111313113I. Taichman1.8013111181LAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov1.538990P. Hanel2.381111113WAug 18 · 19:00T. Milkov1.618111112113T. Kraninger2.20119131072
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261WAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov1.538990P. Hanel2.381111113
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