TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13021598
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Milkov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111313111311118––
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Milkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Milkov above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 91 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Milkov at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milkov 5–8 Ivo Taichman Tomas Milkov has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Taichman
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milkov 1509 vs Taichman 1453
Milkov
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milkov 80% vs Taichman 60%
Milkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milkov 60% vs Taichman 40%
Milkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milkov -1 · Taichman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Milkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilkov 1.91 / Taichman 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Milkov)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13021598
Milkov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 19 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Taichman1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 100 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 74 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilkov5wins
AwayTaichman5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilkov66.7%4 of 6
AwayTaichman75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milkov6Taichman4n = 10Milkov took 6 of 10
S2Milkov5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S3Milkov4Taichman6n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S4Milkov4Taichman4n = 8split evenly
S5Milkov3Taichman3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilkovTaichmanM − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.744.1−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilkovTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 162 vs 238 / 46250.6%51.5%82 / 162 vs 238 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilkovMilkov 1.91/Taichman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Milkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Milkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 06:30T. Milkov—1511410113I. Taichman—136111292
WJul 2 · 12:00T. Milkov—14118113I. Taichman—1271141
LMay 21 · 07:00T. Milkov—6860I. Taichman—1111113
WMay 11 · 12:58T. Milkov—127511133I. Taichman—1011119112
WMay 11 · 12:30T. Milkov—1111133I. Taichman—66110
LApr 4 · 06:00T. Milkov—11911562I. Taichman—811811113
LFeb 25 · 18:02T. Milkov—710111192I. Taichman—111267113
WFeb 25 · 17:30T. Milkov—1111119143I. Taichman—139611122
LFeb 22 · 14:00T. Milkov—11541142I. Taichman—611119113
LFeb 22 · 13:30T. Milkov—12158131I. Taichman—141311153
T. Milkov10
LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101LAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov1.538990P. Hanel2.381111113WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov1.611511143P. Hanel2.20136120WAug 18 · 19:00T. Milkov1.618111112113T. Kraninger2.20119131072
I. Taichman10
WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman2.101171091R. Adam1.6781112113
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