TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12450006
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Milkov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111911131210117
Tomas Kraninger
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Milkov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milkov above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 103 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Milkov at 57.7%
103 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milkov 3–0 Tomas Kraninger Tomas Kraninger has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Milkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Milkov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milkov 1490 vs Kraninger 1466
Milkov
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milkov 60% vs Kraninger 20%
Milkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milkov 60% vs Kraninger 30%
Milkov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milkov +2 · Kraninger -3
Kraninger
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Milkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilkov 1.61 / Kraninger 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Milkov)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12450006
Milkov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 27 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Kraninger2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMilkov3wins
AwayKraninger0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderMilkov leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilkov100%3 of 3
AwayKraningern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milkov3Kraninger0n = 3Milkov took 3 of 3
S2Milkov2Kraninger1n = 3Milkov took 2 of 3
S3Milkov2Kraninger1n = 3Milkov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMilkovKraningerM − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match45.340.3+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilkovKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 159 vs 110 / 21250.3%51.9%80 / 159 vs 110 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilkovMilkov 1.61/Kraninger 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Milkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Milkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 13 · 12:30T. Milkov—1611123T. Kraninger—148100
WApr 14 · 16:30T. Milkov—111187113T. Kraninger—88111192
WFeb 20 · 20:30T. Milkov—1251110113T. Kraninger—101151242
T. Milkov10
LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101WAug 27 · 18:30T. Milkov1.91111313113I. Taichman1.8013111181LAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov1.538990P. Hanel2.381111113WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov1.611511143P. Hanel2.20136120
T. Kraninger10
LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WAug 29 · 12:59T. Kraninger1.91118611113F. Zurek1.8081111782WAug 29 · 12:30T. Kraninger2.201111710113F. Zurek1.6178111272LAug 29 · 11:00T. Kraninger1.83961191I. Taichman1.8311118113LAug 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.501111411133T. Kraninger2.50913117112LAug 28 · 17:11T. Kraninger3.759980F. Zurek1.251111113LAug 28 · 16:30T. Kraninger1.801111111082F. Zurek1.91139812113
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