TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12457283
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Milkov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911911––––
Patrik Hanel
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Milkov to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Milkov above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Milkov at 56.4%
59 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milkov 3–0 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Milkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Milkov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milkov 1513 vs Hanel 1469
Milkov
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milkov 60% vs Hanel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milkov 60% vs Hanel 40%
Milkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milkov +3 · Hanel +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Milkov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilkov 1.53 / Hanel 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Milkov)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12457283
Milkov1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 27 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Hanel2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 21 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMilkov3wins
AwayHanel0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMilkov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilkov100%3 of 3
AwayHaneln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milkov3Hanel0n = 3Milkov took 3 of 3
S2Milkov3Hanel0n = 3Milkov took 3 of 3
S3Milkov1Hanel2n = 3Hanel took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMilkovHanelM − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match45.336.0+9.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilkovHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 160 vs 42 / 8750.6%48.3%81 / 160 vs 42 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilkovMilkov 1.53/Hanel 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Milkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov—1511143P. Hanel—136120
WAug 13 · 19:00T. Milkov—11119113P. Hanel—481151
WJul 16 · 19:00T. Milkov—1111711143P. Hanel—941113122
T. Milkov10
LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101WAug 27 · 18:30T. Milkov1.91111313113I. Taichman1.8013111181WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov1.611511143P. Hanel2.20136120WAug 18 · 19:00T. Milkov1.618111112113T. Kraninger2.20119131072
P. Hanel10
WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WAug 29 · 21:30R. Adam1.41711961P. Hanel2.5011311113WAug 29 · 20:30P. Hanel1.831111113V. Bosak1.838750LAug 29 · 19:00P. Hanel2.63741281R. Adam1.44111110113LAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8011311113P. Hanel1.91511831WAug 28 · 20:58P. Hanel2.10111110113I. Taichman1.67991261LAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov1.611511143P. Hanel2.20136120
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