TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047775
Played Aug 31Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115117113––
Tomas Milkov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Tomas Milkov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 66 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 4–3 Tomas Milkov Tomas Milkov has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:16What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Milkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1441 vs Milkov 1461
Milkov
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 40% vs Milkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 50% vs Milkov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak +1 · Milkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Milkov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 2.00 / Milkov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Milkov)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047775
Bosak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 39 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back14% 9 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Milkov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 24 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBosak4wins
AwayMilkov3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderBosak leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak50%3 of 6
AwayMilkovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak6Milkov1n = 7Bosak took 6 of 7
S2Bosak3Milkov4n = 7Milkov took 4 of 7
S3Bosak3Milkov4n = 7Milkov took 4 of 7
S4Bosak4Milkov3n = 7Bosak took 4 of 7
S5Bosak1Milkov2n = 3Milkov took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBosakMilkovB − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match43.137.9+5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakMilkovBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 343 vs 84 / 16850.2%50%172 / 343 vs 84 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilkovBosak 2.00/Milkov 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Milkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak—71111113T. Milkov—115731
LAug 18 · 18:00V. Bosak—118861T. Milkov—51111113
LAug 12 · 09:30V. Bosak—11115692T. Milkov—211111113
LAug 12 · 08:00V. Bosak—11118982T. Milkov—941111113
WAug 9 · 17:00V. Bosak—11711113T. Milkov—611571
WAug 9 · 15:00V. Bosak—17912113T. Milkov—15111061
WJul 11 · 08:00V. Bosak—119911113T. Milkov—91111982
V. Bosak10
LSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651LSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990LSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113LSep 6 · 14:30M. Blejchar1.4411119113V. Bosak2.63351181LSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.501111113V. Bosak2.508970LSep 3 · 07:00F. Zurek2.38111110113V. Bosak1.53491241LSep 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.7311891152V. Cerny2.00711116113LSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113WSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162
T. Milkov10
LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101WAug 27 · 18:30T. Milkov1.91111313113I. Taichman1.8013111181LAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov1.538990P. Hanel2.381111113WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov1.611511143P. Hanel2.20136120WAug 18 · 19:00T. Milkov1.618111112113T. Kraninger2.20119131072
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