TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147011
Played Sep 18Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117811116––
Tomas Milkov
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 69.7% is still 69.7%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
69.7%
69.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Tomas Milkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Petr Osvald at 69.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 6–1 Tomas Milkov Tomas Milkov has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Osvald
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1468 vs Milkov 1444
Osvald
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Milkov 20%
Osvald
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 30% vs Milkov 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +1 · Milkov -3
Milkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.33 / Milkov 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Osvald)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147011
Osvald1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 33 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Milkov3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOsvald6wins
AwayMilkov1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderOsvald leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald83.3%5 of 6
AwayMilkovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald6Milkov1n = 7Osvald took 6 of 7
S2Osvald6Milkov1n = 7Osvald took 6 of 7
S3Osvald6Milkov1n = 7Osvald took 6 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home571%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricOsvaldMilkovO − MBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match37.326.4+10.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldMilkovBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 220 vs 85 / 17248.2%49.4%106 / 220 vs 85 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.33/Milkov 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 8 · 07:00P. Osvald45111112113T. Milkov381361091
WMar 31 · 19:30P. Osvald331111113T. Milkov199550
WMar 11 · 09:59P. Osvald331111113T. Milkov199550
WMar 11 · 08:00P. Osvald341211113T. Milkov2210660
WJan 25 · 10:30P. Osvald331111113T. Milkov155910
WJan 25 · 07:30P. Osvald381116113T. Milkov2251430
LJan 14 · 11:00P. Osvald45116611112T. Milkov50811117133
P. Osvald10
LSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113WSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113WSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861WSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar2.30811981P. Osvald1.5511911113LSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113LSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123WSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480LSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113
T. Milkov10
WSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950LSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731LAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam1.5311118113T. Milkov2.35661181WAug 27 · 20:00M. Koral1.831149111T. Milkov1.8371111133LAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam1.7311129123T. Milkov2.0071011101
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