TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145618
Played Sep 18Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81110121012––––
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 63 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 13–13 Ivo Taichman Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1440 vs Taichman 1457
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Taichman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 30% vs Taichman 50%
Taichman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +1 · Taichman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.80 / Taichman 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osvald)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145618
Osvald1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 33 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Taichman1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsvald5wins
AwayTaichman5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald60%3 of 5
AwayTaichman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S2Osvald5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S3Osvald6Taichman4n = 10Osvald took 6 of 10
S4Osvald4Taichman5n = 9Taichman took 5 of 9
S5Osvald3Taichman3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsvaldTaichmanO − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.242.5+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 219 vs 262 / 51048.4%51.4%106 / 219 vs 262 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.80/Taichman 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 20:58P. Osvald491310111142I. Taichman50151266113
LJul 23 · 18:00P. Osvald371110881I. Taichman4281211113
WJul 18 · 07:30P. Osvald331111113I. Taichman197390
LJun 9 · 08:30P. Osvald4511118692I. Taichman40341111113
WJun 6 · 09:00P. Osvald48116911113I. Taichman4481111862
WJun 6 · 06:00P. Osvald537101111143I. Taichman53111299122
WJun 3 · 17:30P. Osvald4311515123I. Taichman4281113101
WJun 3 · 16:00P. Osvald474111110113I. Taichman3711481222
LMay 16 · 16:59P. Osvald4371411472I. Taichman541112911113
LMay 16 · 15:30P. Osvald346111161I. Taichman4411913113
P. Osvald10
WSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480LSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100LSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113LSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123LSep 7 · 10:00O. Hradil1.57115118113P. Osvald2.2591151182WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542
I. Taichman10
WSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950LSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman2.1011914922F. Zurek1.675111211113LSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman1.83111090F. Zurek1.831312113WSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100LSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 14 · 13:00J. Stach2.204280I. Taichman1.611111113WSep 14 · 12:00I. Taichman1.441111113J. Stach2.634060LSep 14 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.7311911113I. Taichman2.00411891LSep 14 · 10:00I. Taichman1.8312690P. Varecha1.831411113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Jasek2.2011691172I. Taichman1.60311115113
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