TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108667
Played Sep 11Finished
Radim Adam
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Petr Osvald
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 4–10 Petr Osvald Radim Adam has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Osvald
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1591 vs Osvald 1416
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 80% vs Osvald 20%
Adam
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 70% vs Osvald 30%
Adam
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +3 · Osvald -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 2.10 / Osvald 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adam)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108667
Adam2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 39 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Osvald1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam3wins
AwayOsvald7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam66.7%2 of 3
AwayOsvald85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam3Osvald7n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S2Adam3Osvald7n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S3Adam3Osvald7n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S4Adam3Osvald4n = 7Osvald took 4 of 7
S5Adam3Osvald2n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamOsvaldA − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.642.2−6.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 373 vs 104 / 21552.3%48.4%195 / 373 vs 104 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldAdam 2.10/Osvald 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 13:30R. Adam—1110511113P. Osvald—71211952
LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam—7116101P. Osvald—11411123
LApr 30 · 18:30R. Adam—87111162P. Osvald—111188113
LApr 24 · 10:30R. Adam—3460P. Osvald—1111113
LMar 18 · 09:58R. Adam—8101141P. Osvald—11129113
LMar 18 · 09:00R. Adam—117611102P. Osvald—811119123
WMar 14 · 21:30R. Adam—141168113P. Osvald—127111172
WMar 11 · 09:30R. Adam—712115123P. Osvald—1110811102
LFeb 15 · 22:30R. Adam—8970P. Osvald—1111113
LFeb 15 · 19:30R. Adam—8470P. Osvald—1111113
R. Adam10
WSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090WSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113
P. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100LSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113LSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123LSep 7 · 10:00O. Hradil1.57115118113P. Osvald2.2591151182WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113LSep 5 · 14:30P. Osvald1.53101191172R. Guliak2.38127119113LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113WSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123
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