TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13116903
Played Sep 11Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181131311––––
Radim Adam
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 57 set 3, 13-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 11–4 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Osvald beat Adam 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.50 / Adam 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Adam)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13116903
Osvald1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Adam2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 39 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsvald7wins
AwayAdam3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOsvald leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdam66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald7Adam3n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S2Osvald7Adam3n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S3Osvald7Adam3n = 10Osvald took 7 of 10
S4Osvald4Adam3n = 7Osvald took 4 of 7
S5Osvald2Adam3n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsvaldAdamO − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.236.2+6.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 218 vs 194 / 37348.2%52%105 / 218 vs 194 / 373Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamOsvald 1.50/Adam 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 18:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Adam—8890
LSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald—71211952R. Adam—1110511113
WSep 2 · 12:00P. Osvald—11411123R. Adam—7116101
WApr 30 · 18:30P. Osvald—111188113R. Adam—87111162
WApr 24 · 10:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Adam—3460
WMar 18 · 09:58P. Osvald—11129113R. Adam—8101141
WMar 18 · 09:00P. Osvald—811119123R. Adam—117611102
LMar 14 · 21:30P. Osvald—127111172R. Adam—141168113
LMar 11 · 09:30P. Osvald—1110811102R. Adam—712115123
WFeb 15 · 22:30P. Osvald—1111113R. Adam—8970
P. Osvald10
LSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480LSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100LSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113LSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123LSep 7 · 10:00O. Hradil1.57115118113P. Osvald2.2591151182WSep 5 · 16:59P. Osvald1.6513116113M. Blejchar2.051141171LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542WSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.2041113332P. Osvald1.611181111113
R. Adam10
LSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252LSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090WSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133
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