TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135580
Played Sep 16Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151181210––––
Evald Gebek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 3–1 Evald Gebek Evald Gebek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Taichman
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1511 vs Gebek 1518
Gebek
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Gebek 60%
Gebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 60% vs Gebek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -1 · Gebek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taichman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.80 / Gebek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Taichman)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135580
Taichman1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 96 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 93
Gebek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 5 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTaichman3wins
AwayGebek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderTaichman leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman2Gebek2n = 4split evenly
S2Taichman3Gebek1n = 4Taichman took 3 of 4
S3Taichman2Gebek2n = 4split evenly
S4Taichman2Gebek1n = 3Taichman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTaichmanGebekT − GBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.235.5+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 508 vs 42 / 7451.6%56.8%262 / 508 vs 42 / 74Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.80/Gebek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman341111123E. Gebek2358100
WSep 13 · 08:00I. Taichman46611411143E. Gebek48118116122
WJul 4 · 18:00I. Taichman3961111113E. Gebek29118461
LMay 28 · 12:30I. Taichman30119821E. Gebek4291111113
I. Taichman10
LSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 14 · 13:00J. Stach2.204280I. Taichman1.611111113WSep 14 · 12:00I. Taichman1.441111113J. Stach2.634060LSep 14 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.7311911113I. Taichman2.00411891LSep 14 · 10:00I. Taichman1.8312690P. Varecha1.831411113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Jasek2.2011691172I. Taichman1.60311115113WSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143WSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123WSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171
E. Gebek10
WSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391WSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641LSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143LSep 13 · 07:30M. Jasek2.20811119113E. Gebek1.6111681182WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113LAug 7 · 18:00E. Gebek2.1011412121J. Hrabec1.67131110143WAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.61611471E. Gebek2.2011911113
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