TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124184
Played Sep 13Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113611911115711
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 61.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 6–10 Ivo Taichman Milan Jasek has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Jasek beat Taichman 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Taichman
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1370 vs Taichman 1504
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 40% vs Taichman 80%
Taichman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 30% vs Taichman 60%
Taichman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek -1 · Taichman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 2.20 / Taichman 1.60
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Taichman)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124184
Jasek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 15 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Taichman1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 92 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJasek1wins
AwayTaichman9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek25%1 of 4
AwayTaichman100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek4Taichman6n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S2Jasek6Taichman4n = 10Jasek took 6 of 10
S3Jasek2Taichman8n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S4Jasek3Taichman6n = 9Taichman took 6 of 9
S5Jasek0Taichman4n = 4Taichman took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJasekTaichmanJ − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.244.2−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 246 vs 258 / 50147.6%51.5%117 / 246 vs 258 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanJasek 2.20/Taichman 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:30M. Jasek44111110123I. Taichman409912101
LSep 5 · 18:00M. Jasek4991311882I. Taichman531111911113
LAug 1 · 20:30M. Jasek47811117102I. Taichman50119711123
LJun 27 · 11:30M. Jasek331147111I. Taichman3831111133
LJun 25 · 20:30M. Jasek47111191152I. Taichman52813119113
LMay 30 · 10:00M. Jasek351111761I. Taichman4413911113
LMay 18 · 18:30M. Jasek50127911112I. Taichman521011117133
LMay 15 · 20:30M. Jasek21113431I. Taichman44111111113
LApr 20 · 19:30M. Jasek33711961I. Taichman3611311113
LMar 15 · 21:58M. Jasek135620I. Taichman331111113
M. Jasek10
LSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061WSep 13 · 07:30M. Jasek2.20811119113E. Gebek1.6111681182WSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123LSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970LSep 8 · 20:30P. Varecha1.731311123M. Jasek2.00116100LSep 8 · 19:30M. Jasek1.44119147152V. Bosak2.639111211173LSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133WSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113
I. Taichman10
WSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143WSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123WSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171WSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:30P. Varecha2.251111123I. Taichman1.5789100WSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360LSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132LSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:30J. Stach2.63491181I. Taichman1.4411115113
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