TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126044
Played Sep 14Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114110116––––
Jiri Stach
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:43 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-0
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 43 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 67.7%
43 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 14–10 Jiri Stach Jiri Stach has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Taichman
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1504 vs Stach 1371
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 60% vs Stach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 60% vs Stach 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -1 · Stach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Taichman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.44 / Stach 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Taichman)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126044
Taichman1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 94 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 94
Stach2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman7wins
AwayStach3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman66.7%6 of 9
AwayStachn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman9Stach1n = 10Taichman took 9 of 10
S2Taichman8Stach2n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S3Taichman5Stach5n = 10split evenly
S4Taichman3Stach3n = 6split evenly
S5Taichman1Stach2n = 3Stach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanStachT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.832.7+7.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanStachBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 503 vs 147 / 31751.5%46.4%259 / 503 vs 147 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.44/Stach 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:30I. Taichman3811115113J. Stach32491181
WSep 5 · 19:30I. Taichman351111133J. Stach2687110
WJul 17 · 14:00I. Taichman331111113J. Stach146530
LJul 2 · 06:00I. Taichman381191081J. Stach4061112113
WJun 25 · 21:30I. Taichman4111118113J. Stach30861151
LJun 25 · 18:00I. Taichman53111115972J. Stach48541711113
WJun 20 · 17:07I. Taichman49811811113J. Stach4111611582
LJun 20 · 16:00I. Taichman4511712782J. Stach518111011113
WMay 25 · 19:30I. Taichman331111113J. Stach269980
WMay 21 · 06:30I. Taichman331111113J. Stach197660
I. Taichman10
LSep 14 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.7311911113I. Taichman2.00411891LSep 14 · 10:00I. Taichman1.8312690P. Varecha1.831411113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Jasek2.2011691172I. Taichman1.60311115113WSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143WSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123WSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171WSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:30P. Varecha2.251111123I. Taichman1.5789100WSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360
J. Stach10
WSep 14 · 11:00P. Varecha2.20115137162J. Stach1.617111111183LSep 14 · 10:30J. Stach1.91411171142M. Kowolowski1.801161513113WSep 11 · 08:59J. Stach1.61611116113P. Varecha2.2011931182WSep 11 · 08:30P. Varecha2.008141071J. Stach1.73111212113LSep 11 · 07:30J. Stach2.63491181I. Taichman1.4411115113LSep 11 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61116137113J. Stach2.20611111182WSep 9 · 09:00J. Stach1.70131212113D. Mikula2.0011101491LSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830WSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113
Upcoming Matches
I. Taichman
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J. Stach
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