TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154690
Played Sep 19Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119911811––
Petr Osvald
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Osvald at 55.4%
78 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 10–19 Petr Osvald Marek Blejchar has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-19 in 29
Osvald
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1502 vs Osvald 1495
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Osvald 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 50% vs Osvald 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -2 · Osvald -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 2.30 / Osvald 1.55
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Blejchar)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154690
Blejchar2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Osvald1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 35 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar5wins
AwayOsvald5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar80%4 of 5
AwayOsvald80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar5Osvald5n = 10split evenly
S2Blejchar7Osvald3n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S3Blejchar7Osvald3n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S4Blejchar3Osvald5n = 8Osvald took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharOsvaldB − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.0−1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 649 vs 109 / 22448.5%48.7%315 / 649 vs 109 / 224Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldBlejchar 2.30/Osvald 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar36811981P. Osvald4211911113
WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar331111113P. Osvald186480
WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar371114123P. Osvald30812100
WSep 7 · 12:30M. Blejchar3911611113P. Osvald34811691
LSep 5 · 16:59M. Blejchar331141171P. Osvald4113116113
LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar3441113332P. Osvald521181111113
WJul 27 · 08:30M. Blejchar3851111113P. Osvald32113991
LJul 23 · 19:30M. Blejchar32415671P. Osvald46111311113
LJun 9 · 06:00M. Blejchar47111456112P. Osvald514121111133
WMay 16 · 14:00M. Blejchar3811511113P. Osvald34911681
M. Blejchar10
LSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:00P. Hanel1.80111188113M. Blejchar1.9157111172LSep 13 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.951611751J. Hrabec1.7518411113LSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162WSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123WSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090WSep 13 · 09:08P. Chovanec2.105410M. Blejchar1.661111113LSep 13 · 08:30M. Blejchar2.2011941282A. Rinka1.619111110113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.6171211113M. Blejchar2.201110741
P. Osvald10
WSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861LSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161WSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113LSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123WSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480LSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100
Upcoming Matches
M. Blejchar
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P. Osvald
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