TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124842
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1618114711511––
Jan Hrabec
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 83 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 56.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 4–8 Jan Hrabec Marek Blejchar has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hrabec beat Blejchar 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Hrabec
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1545 vs Hrabec 1576
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 60% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -1 · Hrabec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.95 / Hrabec 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hrabec)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124842
Blejchar1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Hrabec1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar3wins
AwayHrabec7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHrabec leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar60%3 of 5
AwayHrabec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar5Hrabec5n = 10split evenly
S2Blejchar4Hrabec6n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S3Blejchar1Hrabec9n = 10Hrabec took 9 of 10
S4Blejchar4Hrabec3n = 7Blejchar took 4 of 7
S5Blejchar2Hrabec3n = 5Hrabec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharHrabecB − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.741.2−6.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 658 vs 136 / 24748.3%55.1%318 / 658 vs 136 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecBlejchar 1.95/Hrabec 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 12:00M. Blejchar3791101162J. Hrabec46115118113
LSep 5 · 14:00M. Blejchar2210660J. Hrabec341211113
LAug 16 · 15:30M. Blejchar177640J. Hrabec30111183
LAug 7 · 21:28M. Blejchar30211981J. Hrabec4011711113
LAug 7 · 19:00M. Blejchar4011118552J. Hrabec47771111113
WJul 28 · 09:00M. Blejchar4716119113J. Hrabec391461181
LJul 28 · 07:30M. Blejchar185850J. Hrabec331111113
LJul 21 · 09:30M. Blejchar43117113112J. Hrabec49911511133
WJul 21 · 07:00M. Blejchar46119411113J. Hrabec4671111982
WMar 25 · 20:00M. Blejchar47136611113J. Hrabec48111111692
M. Blejchar10
LSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162WSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123WSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090WSep 13 · 09:08P. Chovanec2.105410M. Blejchar1.661111113LSep 13 · 08:30M. Blejchar2.2011941282A. Rinka1.619111110113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.6171211113M. Blejchar2.201110741WSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130
J. Hrabec10
WSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162LSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162WSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113
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