TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119776
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Hrabec
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1196111164111412
Radim Adam
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:23 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 95 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 60.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hrabec 2–1 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1548 vs Adam 1538
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Adam 20%
Hrabec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 50% vs Adam 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec -1 · Adam -4
Adam
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.67 / Adam 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119776
Hrabec1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Adam2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 36 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back33% 13 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHrabec2wins
AwayAdam1wins
Hrabec leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec1Adam2n = 3Adam took 2 of 3
S2Hrabec2Adam1n = 3Hrabec took 2 of 3
S3Hrabec2Adam1n = 3Hrabec took 2 of 3
S4Hrabec2Adam1n = 3Hrabec took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHrabecAdamH − ABasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.742.70.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 256 vs 193 / 37355.5%51.7%142 / 256 vs 193 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.67/Adam 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 25 · 18:00J. Hrabec4461113143R. Adam4211811121
LMar 25 · 22:00J. Hrabec381461441R. Adam50121116113
WMar 25 · 19:00J. Hrabec46101411113R. Adam361212481
J. Hrabec10
LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WAug 27 · 21:30T. Milota1.6331191132J. Hrabec2.13117119113LAug 27 · 20:00L. Velicka1.57128118113J. Hrabec2.25101181142
R. Adam10
LSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252LSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090WSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113
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