TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120670
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118115611611116
Jan Hrabec
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 77.4%
86 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 1–9 Jan Hrabec Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Hrabec
Wrong
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1478 vs Hrabec 1568
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 20% vs Hrabec 60%
Hrabec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -4 · Hrabec +1
Zurek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabec form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 3.50 / Hrabec 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Hrabec)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120670
Zurek3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 100 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back32% 36 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Hrabec1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek1wins
AwayHrabec9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrabec leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek25%1 of 4
AwayHrabec100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek4Hrabec6n = 10Hrabec took 6 of 10
S2Zurek1Hrabec9n = 10Hrabec took 9 of 10
S3Zurek2Hrabec8n = 10Hrabec took 8 of 10
S4Zurek0Hrabec5n = 5Hrabec took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekHrabecZ − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.839.1−10.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 596 vs 135 / 24550.7%55.1%302 / 596 vs 135 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecZurek 3.50/Hrabec 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 21:28F. Zurek4211101471J. Hrabec4891216113
WJul 25 · 19:30F. Zurek41111153113J. Hrabec4679111182
LJul 16 · 19:30F. Zurek261121031J. Hrabec3951112113
LJul 2 · 12:30F. Zurek3911511842J. Hrabec48711811113
LJun 30 · 17:30F. Zurek199550J. Hrabec331111113
LJun 30 · 14:30F. Zurek361081261J. Hrabec44121110113
LFeb 23 · 13:30F. Zurek2561090J. Hrabec341112113
LDec 17 · 22:19F. Zurek219480J. Hrabec331111113
LDec 17 · 19:00F. Zurek197480J. Hrabec331111113
LDec 8 · 20:00F. Zurek207850J. Hrabec331111113
F. Zurek10
LSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113WSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113LSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090LSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371LSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113
J. Hrabec10
WSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162WSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142WSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek
Nothing scheduled
J. Hrabec
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