TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124878
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
7.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511611––––
Radim Adam
Away
1.07
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-7
Point 43 set 3, 5-7
43 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Filip Zurek 1–3 Radim Adam Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zurek beat Adam 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (0%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 7.50 / Adam 1.07
Signal prob.13% / 88%
Edge (Adam)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124878
Zurek7.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 100 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back32% 36 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Adam1.07
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZurek1wins
AwayAdam3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderAdam leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek2Adam2n = 4split evenly
S2Zurek2Adam2n = 4split evenly
S3Zurek1Adam3n = 4Adam took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricZurekAdamZ − ABasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.235.8−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 598 vs 193 / 37650.8%51.3%304 / 598 vs 193 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamZurek 7.50/Adam 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.5%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 12:30F. Zurek331111113R. Adam229850
LJul 25 · 20:30F. Zurek371181081R. Adam3951112113
LJul 22 · 19:30F. Zurek42101121182R. Adam49129116113
LJul 1 · 16:00F. Zurek177460R. Adam331111113
F. Zurek10
WSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113WSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162LSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090LSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371LSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113
R. Adam10
LSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113LSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123LSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252LSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090WSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113
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