TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120290
Played Sep 13Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Filip Zurek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 65.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 3–0 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:44What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Adam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Adam
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1508 vs Zurek 1492
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 0% vs Zurek 20%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 30% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -5 · Zurek +1
Adam
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.44 / Zurek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Adam)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120290
Adam1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Zurek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 100 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back32% 36 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdam3wins
AwayZurek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderAdam leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam2Zurek1n = 3Adam took 2 of 3
S2Adam2Zurek1n = 3Adam took 2 of 3
S3Adam3Zurek0n = 3Adam took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamZurekA − ZBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.332.0+8.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 375 vs 303 / 59751.5%50.8%193 / 375 vs 303 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.44/Zurek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 25 · 20:30R. Adam3951112113F. Zurek371181081
WJul 22 · 19:30R. Adam49129116113F. Zurek42101121182
WJul 1 · 16:00R. Adam331111113F. Zurek177460
R. Adam10
WSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504550R. Adam1.07111173LSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123LSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252LSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090WSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113
F. Zurek10
LSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504550R. Adam1.07111173WSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162LSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090LSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371LSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman2.1091111113F. Zurek1.67119791LSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162WSep 11 · 09:28F. Zurek1.671118127153I. Taichman2.105161411132WSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman1.80119571F. Zurek1.9151111113WSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha2.00117881F. Zurek1.7371111113
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