TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13157691
Played Sep 19Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311811118116––
Jan Hrabec
Away
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:33 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 79 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 61.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 2–2 Jan Hrabec Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:33What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1510 vs Hrabec 1590
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 60% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 50% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +1 · Hrabec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 2.25 / Hrabec 1.58
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13157691
Osvald2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 26 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Hrabec1.58
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 55 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOsvald2wins
AwayHrabec2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald2Hrabec2n = 4split evenly
S2Osvald2Hrabec2n = 4split evenly
S3Osvald2Hrabec2n = 4split evenly
S4Osvald2Hrabec1n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricOsvaldHrabecO − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.236.0−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 225 vs 132 / 23848.9%55.5%110 / 225 vs 132 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecOsvald 2.25/Hrabec 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.5%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald4313811113J. Hrabec361111861
LSep 5 · 16:00P. Osvald3711116542J. Hrabec44741111113
LAug 27 · 18:30P. Osvald163850J. Hrabec331111113
WAug 12 · 20:30P. Osvald4181111113J. Hrabec31116681
P. Osvald10
WSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113WSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar2.30811981P. Osvald1.5511911113LSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161WSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113LSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123WSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480LSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:30R. Adam2.108890P. Osvald1.671111113
J. Hrabec10
WSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591WSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 06:00J. Hrabec2.2567111162P. Hanel1.57111148113WSep 13 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.951611751J. Hrabec1.7518411113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162LSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162WSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.