TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153991
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Hrabec
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611711114118611
Patrik Hanel
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Hanel to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Patrik Hanel at 57.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hrabec 2–8 Patrik Hanel Jan Hrabec has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hanel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Hanel
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1572 vs Hanel 1546
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Hanel 80%
Hanel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 70% vs Hanel 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +2 · Hanel +3
Hanel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hanel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 2.25 / Hanel 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Hanel)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153991
Hrabec2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 23 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Hanel1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabec2wins
AwayHanel8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHanel leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec0%0 of 3
AwayHanel71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec3Hanel7n = 10Hanel took 7 of 10
S2Hrabec3Hanel7n = 10Hanel took 7 of 10
S3Hrabec2Hanel8n = 10Hanel took 8 of 10
S4Hrabec3Hanel3n = 6split evenly
S5Hrabec2Hanel3n = 5Hanel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabecHanelHrabec − HanelBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.5−4.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 238 vs 58 / 11455.5%50.9%132 / 238 vs 58 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanelHrabec 2.25/Hanel 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Hanel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 06:00J. Hrabec4167111162P. Hanel45111148113
LAug 6 · 17:29J. Hrabec163940P. Hanel331111113
LAug 6 · 14:30J. Hrabec46111447102P. Hanel548121111123
WJul 17 · 14:30J. Hrabec548131111113P. Hanel51111113972
LJul 16 · 21:30J. Hrabec2412660P. Hanel361411113
LJul 16 · 18:00J. Hrabec246990P. Hanel331111113
LJun 30 · 15:00J. Hrabec351151091P. Hanel3951112113
WJun 28 · 07:30J. Hrabec46511118113P. Hanel3511421172
LJun 12 · 19:30J. Hrabec45114101192P. Hanel45811123113
LJun 2 · 18:30J. Hrabec2561090P. Hanel341112113
J. Hrabec10
WSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861WSep 13 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.951611751J. Hrabec1.7518411113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162LSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162WSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113WSep 5 · 16:00J. Hrabec1.61741111113P. Osvald2.2011116542LSep 5 · 15:30R. Guliak2.7511611113J. Hrabec1.40911771WSep 5 · 14:00J. Hrabec1.441211113M. Blejchar2.6310660
P. Hanel10
WSep 19 · 07:00P. Hanel1.80111188113M. Blejchar1.9157111172WSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112WSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113WSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113WSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651
Upcoming Matches
J. Hrabec
Nothing scheduled
P. Hanel
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