TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154957
Played Sep 18Finished
Matyas Kolek
Home
2.02
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111161012711––
Roman Guliak
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Roman Guliak at 55.3%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Guliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1344 vs Guliak 1407
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 40% vs Guliak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 30% vs Guliak 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -2 · Guliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guliak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.02 / Guliak 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guliak)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154957
Kolek2.02
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Guliak1.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 51 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 35 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 240 vs 335 / 67751.3%49.5%123 / 240 vs 335 / 677Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakKolek 2.02/Guliak 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guliak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Kolek10
WSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113WSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163WSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113LSep 17 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61111311113M. Kolek2.20815661
R. Guliak10
LSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182LSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113WSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak1.33571181D. Priesol3.2511116113WSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek
Nothing scheduled
R. Guliak
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