TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140615
Played Sep 17Finished
Matyas Kolek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119811114––
Eduard Sionkala
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeEduard Sionkala to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Eduard Sionkala below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 74 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Eduard Sionkala at 54.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Kolek 1–0 Eduard Sionkala Eduard Sionkala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sionkala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1380 vs Sionkala 1380
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 20% vs Sionkala 40%
Sionkala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 30% vs Sionkala 50%
Sionkala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -2 · Sionkala -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sionkala) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.91 / Sionkala 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sionkala)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140615
Kolek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Sionkala1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKolek1wins
AwaySionkala0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKolek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKolekSionkalaK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match53.045.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekSionkalaBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 236 vs 74 / 15251.3%48.7%121 / 236 vs 74 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaKolek 1.91/Sionkala 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek531191111113E. Sionkala4513116782
M. Kolek10
LSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163WSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113LSep 17 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61111311113M. Kolek2.20815661LSep 15 · 20:58M. Kolek1.61118111132J. Stach2.20131164113WSep 15 · 20:00M. Kolek1.83121112113J. Stach1.831031471LSep 15 · 19:30J. Peter2.001111113M. Kolek1.735350LSep 15 · 18:00M. Kolek2.109970M. Jasek1.671111113WSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872
E. Sionkala10
LSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113LSep 17 · 10:00E. Sionkala2.38117491F. Zurek1.5391111113LSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371WSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770LSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173LSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782
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