TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129739
Played Sep 15Finished
Jaroslav Peter
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113115––––
Matyas Kolek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Peter above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 46 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Peter 1–1 Matyas Kolek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Peter 1402 vs Kolek 1419
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peter 60% vs Kolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peter 70% vs Kolek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peter +2 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeter 2.00 / Kolek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129739
Peter2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Kolek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePeter1wins
AwayKolek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPeterKolekP − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.033.5−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeterKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 89 vs 119 / 22838.2%52.2%34 / 89 vs 119 / 228Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekPeter 2.00/Kolek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Peter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 15:00J. Peter381111793M. Kolek31391181
LAug 14 · 19:00J. Peter2686120M. Kolek361111143
J. Peter10
WSep 15 · 20:30M. Jasek1.737880J. Peter2.001111113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Stach1.73351181J. Peter2.0011116113WSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113LSep 11 · 16:00P. Kalvar1.731114811113J. Peter2.00712111362LSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:30J. Peter1.831116113A. Schneeberger1.8391470WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn2.2511114582J. Peter1.57791111113WAug 28 · 18:00J. Peter2.1061111123Z. Zientek1.671178101
M. Kolek10
WSep 15 · 20:00M. Kolek1.83121112113J. Stach1.831031471LSep 15 · 18:00M. Kolek2.109970M. Jasek1.671111113WSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872WSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440LSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461WSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152LSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892WSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952WSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123
Upcoming Matches
J. Peter
M. Kolek
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