TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140445
Played Sep 17Finished
Eduard Sionkala
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118811117411
Michal Koral
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Sionkala above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Michal Koral at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Sionkala 3–1 Michal Koral Michal Koral has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Sionkala
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sionkala 1368 vs Koral 1531
Koral
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sionkala 20% vs Koral 80%
Koral
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sionkala 40% vs Koral 70%
Koral
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sionkala -3 · Koral +2
Sionkala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSionkala 2.10 / Koral 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Koral)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140445
Sionkala2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 7 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Koral1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSionkala3wins
AwayKoral1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSionkala leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSionkala100%3 of 3
AwayKoraln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sionkala3Koral1n = 4Sionkala took 3 of 4
S2Sionkala1Koral3n = 4Koral took 3 of 4
S3Sionkala1Koral3n = 4Koral took 3 of 4
S4Sionkala3Koral0n = 3Sionkala took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSionkalaKoralS − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.033.5+4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSionkalaKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 153 vs 111 / 21548.4%51.6%74 / 153 vs 111 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralSionkala 2.10/Koral 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMar 16 · 10:00E. Sionkala47117711113M. Koral3551111352
WMar 16 · 07:30E. Sionkala4211911113M. Koral36911881
LMar 12 · 12:00E. Sionkala219930M. Koral331111113
WMar 10 · 07:00E. Sionkala4211119113M. Koral30491161
E. Sionkala10
LSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:00E. Sionkala2.38117491F. Zurek1.5391111113LSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371WSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770LSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173LSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782
M. Koral10
WSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 09:28M. Koral1.50149119112F. Zurek2.501211511133WSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113WSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390LSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
E. Sionkala
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M. Koral
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