TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140343
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117611114––
Filip Zurek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 70 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 1–0 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koral 1484 vs Zurek 1535
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 60% vs Zurek 80%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 40% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +2 · Zurek +4
Zurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.61 / Zurek 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Koral)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13140343
Koral1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Zurek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 100 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back31% 35 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKoral1wins
AwayZurek0wins
Koral leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKoralZurekK − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.033.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 211 vs 308 / 60551.2%50.9%108 / 211 vs 308 / 605Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.61/Zurek 2.20
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 31 · 12:00M. Koral3961111113F. Zurek33118771
M. Koral10
WSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113WSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390LSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113LSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112LSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143
F. Zurek10
WSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha2.207540F. Zurek1.611111113WSep 17 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61111311113M. Kolek2.20815661WSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman2.1011914922F. Zurek1.675111211113WSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman1.83111090F. Zurek1.831312113LSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113LSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391LSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113WSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113WSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162LSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.