TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140537
Played Sep 17Finished
Pavel Varecha
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511411––––
Filip Zurek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Varecha above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 49 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 60.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Varecha 11–21 Filip Zurek Pavel Varecha has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-21 in 32
Zurek
Correct
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varecha 1354 vs Zurek 1522
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varecha 20% vs Zurek 60%
Zurek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varecha 30% vs Zurek 50%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varecha -4 · Zurek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecha 2.20 / Zurek 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140537
Varecha2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Zurek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 79 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarecha5wins
AwayZurek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarecha66.7%4 of 6
AwayZurek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varecha6Zurek4n = 10Varecha took 6 of 10
S2Varecha3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S3Varecha3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Varecha5Zurek1n = 6Varecha took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarechaZurekV − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.835.3−1.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarechaZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 224 vs 308 / 60647.8%50.8%107 / 224 vs 308 / 606Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekVarecha 2.20/Zurek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha167540F. Zurek331111113
WSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha4581115113F. Zurek351141371
LSep 12 · 06:30P. Varecha4511891162F. Zurek50911118113
LSep 11 · 07:00P. Varecha34117881F. Zurek4071111113
WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha4011711113F. Zurek30511681
WSep 1 · 06:30P. Varecha331111113F. Zurek219480
LAug 25 · 12:59P. Varecha186570F. Zurek331111113
WAug 25 · 11:00P. Varecha3911116113F. Zurek31761171
LAug 21 · 07:30P. Varecha257990F. Zurek331111113
WJul 31 · 09:29P. Varecha43116411113F. Zurek4791111792
P. Varecha10
LSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390LSep 14 · 13:30M. Kowolowski1.4311611123P. Varecha2.606114101LSep 14 · 12:30P. Varecha2.3881160M. Kowolowski1.531113113LSep 14 · 11:00P. Varecha2.20115137162J. Stach1.617111111183WSep 14 · 10:00I. Taichman1.8312690P. Varecha1.831411113WSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371LSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:30P. Varecha2.251111123I. Taichman1.5789100LSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162LSep 11 · 08:59J. Stach1.61611116113P. Varecha2.2011931182
F. Zurek10
LSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 06:30F. Zurek1.61111311113M. Kolek2.20815661WSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman2.1011914922F. Zurek1.675111211113WSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman1.83111090F. Zurek1.831312113LSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113LSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391LSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113WSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113LSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek1.53911118113P. Varecha2.3811891162
Upcoming Matches
P. Varecha
Nothing scheduled
F. Zurek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.