TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139475
Played Sep 17Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181315116116––
Matyas Kolek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 9–9 Matyas Kolek Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1522 vs Kolek 1380
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 40% vs Kolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +2 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.61 / Kolek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zurek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139475
Zurek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 79 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Kolek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek5wins
AwayKolek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek57.1%4 of 7
AwayKolek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek7Kolek3n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S2Zurek5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Zurek7Kolek3n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Zurek2Kolek5n = 7Kolek took 5 of 7
S5Zurek1Kolek3n = 4Kolek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekKolekZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.2+0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 606 vs 120 / 23350.8%51.5%308 / 606 vs 120 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.61/Kolek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:30F. Zurek46111311113M. Kolek35815661
LSep 8 · 13:30F. Zurek4816116872M. Kolek541471111113
LSep 8 · 12:00F. Zurek135440M. Kolek331111113
LSep 6 · 11:30F. Zurek4514611952M. Kolek521211711113
WAug 30 · 09:30F. Zurek331111113M. Kolek196580
LAug 30 · 08:00F. Zurek3910811101M. Kolek3912114123
WAug 29 · 07:00F. Zurek331111113M. Kolek268990
WAug 22 · 06:00F. Zurek44111174113M. Kolek4385111182
LJun 5 · 11:30F. Zurek4411711692M. Kolek43311711113
WApr 19 · 12:00F. Zurek4381212113M. Kolek3811101071
F. Zurek10
LSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha2.207540F. Zurek1.611111113WSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman2.1011914922F. Zurek1.675111211113WSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman1.83111090F. Zurek1.831312113LSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113LSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391LSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113WSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113WSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162LSep 13 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.531112113F. Zurek2.3851090
M. Kolek10
LSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113LSep 15 · 20:58M. Kolek1.61118111132J. Stach2.20131164113WSep 15 · 20:00M. Kolek1.83121112113J. Stach1.831031471LSep 15 · 19:30J. Peter2.001111113M. Kolek1.735350LSep 15 · 18:00M. Kolek2.109970M. Jasek1.671111113WSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872WSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440LSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461WSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152
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