TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147031
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511114711511––
Matyas Kolek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kraninger to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Matyas Kolek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Kraninger at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kraninger
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1359 vs Kolek 1335
Kraninger
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 20% vs Kolek 40%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 30% vs Kolek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger -3 · Kolek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kraninger) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 1.57 / Kolek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kraninger)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147031
Kraninger1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 27 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Kolek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 239 vs 123 / 24149%51%117 / 239 vs 123 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKraninger 1.57/Kolek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kraninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Kraninger10
WSep 18 · 20:58M. Kolek2.004780T. Kraninger1.731111113LSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641WSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061LSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113
M. Kolek10
LSep 18 · 20:58M. Kolek2.004780T. Kraninger1.731111113LSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113LSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113WSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163WSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113
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