TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13156237
Played Sep 18Finished
Matyas Kolek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711811––––
Tomas Kraninger
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Kolek 1–0 Tomas Kraninger Tomas Kraninger has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolek beat Kraninger 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kraninger)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.00 / Kraninger 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kraninger)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13156237
Kolek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Kraninger1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 27 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKolek1wins
AwayKraninger0wins
Kolek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKolekKraningerKolek − KraningerBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.028.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 242 vs 117 / 24051.2%48.8%124 / 242 vs 117 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraningerKolek 2.00/Kraninger 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kraninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kraninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 18 · 20:30M. Kolek3711411113T. Kraninger28511751
M. Kolek10
WSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113LSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113WSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163WSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123LSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113
T. Kraninger10
LSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641WSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061LSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182LSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:00M. Jasek2.2061141182T. Kraninger1.61117113113
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