TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156719
Played Sep 19Finished
Jonas Kulveit
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119117––––
Robert Jamrich
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJonas Kulveit to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJonas Kulveit above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jonas Kulveit at 54.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Kulveit 11–8 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulveit
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Kulveit
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulveit 1540 vs Jamrich 1404
Kulveit
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulveit 80% vs Jamrich 0%
Kulveit
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulveit 70% vs Jamrich 50%
Kulveit
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulveit +4 · Jamrich -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kulveit)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulveit 1.80 / Jamrich 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kulveit)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13156719
Kulveit1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 15 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Jamrich1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 22 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulveit6wins
AwayJamrich4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKulveit leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulveit75%3 of 4
AwayJamrich50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulveit4Jamrich6n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S2Kulveit7Jamrich3n = 10Kulveit took 7 of 10
S3Kulveit8Jamrich2n = 10Kulveit took 8 of 10
S4Kulveit3Jamrich5n = 8Jamrich took 5 of 8
S5Kulveit1Jamrich2n = 3Jamrich took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulveitJamrichK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.0−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulveitJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 300 vs 132 / 29250.3%45.2%151 / 300 vs 132 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulveitKulveit 1.80/Jamrich 1.91
Hit
What we said
54.7%
Kulveit · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kulveit won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WFeb 20 · 12:25J. Kulveit4314611123R. Jamrich4212119101
LJan 7 · 14:25J. Kulveit46711111342R. Jamrich51116815113
WOct 14 · 10:25J. Kulveit47611136113R. Jamrich42116111132
WOct 14 · 07:55J. Kulveit331111113R. Jamrich239680
LOct 10 · 14:30J. Kulveit32811671R. Jamrich4211911113
LOct 10 · 11:55J. Kulveit51119128112R. Jamrich527111011133
WOct 3 · 11:55J. Kulveit3851111113R. Jamrich31116861
WSep 22 · 14:00J. Kulveit3612211113R. Jamrich391011991
LSep 22 · 13:25J. Kulveit33811771R. Jamrich3811511113
J. Kulveit10
WSep 19 · 07:55J. Kulveit1.6714117113J. Dvorak2.101291151WSep 19 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.80117118113A. Kral1.9191191132WAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192WAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 28 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.00481191D. Tichy1.7311119113LAug 28 · 15:55J. Kulveit1.50811361J. Dvorak2.50111111113WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091
R. Jamrich10
LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121WSep 8 · 10:25R. Jamrich1.8011811173R. Muller1.919118151WSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113WSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky1.839870R. Jamrich1.831111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.