TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152487
Played Sep 18Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10129111171113––
Jakub Dvorak
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Robert Jamrich at 56.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 3–2 Jakub Dvorak Jakub Dvorak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jamrich
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1460 vs Dvorak 1503
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 100% vs Dvorak 80%
Jamrich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 90% vs Dvorak 60%
Jamrich
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich +8 · Dvorak +1
Jamrich
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jamrich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 1.57 / Dvorak 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Jamrich)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13152487
Jamrich1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite47% won 8 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Dvorak2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 61 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJamrich3wins
AwayDvorak2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJamrich leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrich75%3 of 4
AwayDvorakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich4Dvorak1n = 5Jamrich took 4 of 5
S2Jamrich2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S3Jamrich4Dvorak1n = 5Jamrich took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJamrichDvorakJ − DBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match33.631.8+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 287 vs 171 / 35046%48.9%132 / 287 vs 171 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JamrichJamrich 1.57/Dvorak 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Jamrich · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich3712311113J. Dvorak341011671
WSep 6 · 16:55R. Jamrich331111113J. Dvorak238870
WAug 25 · 18:00R. Jamrich331111113J. Dvorak195860
LAug 25 · 15:55R. Jamrich4711911972J. Dvorak49911711113
LJul 28 · 15:55R. Jamrich1844100J. Dvorak341111123
R. Jamrich10
WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121WSep 8 · 10:25R. Jamrich1.8011811173R. Muller1.919118151WSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113
J. Dvorak10
LSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 09:25J. Dvorak1.7361161192A. Kral2.00116117113LSep 19 · 07:55J. Kulveit1.6714117113J. Dvorak2.101291151WSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:30J. Dvorak1.65119181182D. Tichy2.109111613113WSep 18 · 17:25J. Dvorak1.7311118113F. Marat2.00861171WSep 18 · 15:25D. Tichy2.0011129862J. Dvorak1.735101111113WSep 16 · 17:49M. Dvorak1.679750J. Dvorak2.101111113LSep 16 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.91961171M. Dvorak1.8011119113WSep 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.0081215842J. Dvorak1.7311101311113
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