TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152479
Played Sep 18Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111012––––
Dominik Tichy
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:13 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Dominik Tichy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Robert Jamrich at 64.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 0–1 Dominik Tichy Robert Jamrich has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tichy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1441 vs Tichy 1449
Tichy
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 80% vs Tichy 20%
Jamrich
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 80% vs Tichy 30%
Jamrich
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich -1 · Tichy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Tichy) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 2.20 / Tichy 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Tichy)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13152479
Jamrich2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 22 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Tichy1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 127 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJamrich0wins
AwayTichy1wins
Tichy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJamrichTichyJ − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.043.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 288 vs 168 / 26645.8%63.2%132 / 288 vs 168 / 266Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyJamrich 2.20/Tichy 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tichy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 28 · 15:25R. Jamrich27541261D. Tichy43111110113
R. Jamrich10
LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121WSep 8 · 10:25R. Jamrich1.8011811173R. Muller1.919118151WSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113WSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky1.839870R. Jamrich1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113
D. Tichy10
LSep 18 · 16:25F. Marat2.385121111113D. Tichy1.5311146432LSep 18 · 15:25D. Tichy2.0011129862J. Dvorak1.735101111113WSep 16 · 17:19Z. Zahradka1.73712561D. Tichy2.00111011113LSep 16 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.201111113D. Tichy1.613670LSep 16 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00115811113D. Tichy1.7361111232LSep 16 · 14:50D. Tichy1.807690J. Dvorak1.911111113WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113
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