TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098087
Played Sep 8Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111181715––
Radek Muller
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Radek Muller below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 16-15
Point 89 set 4, 16-15 — our read held Robert Jamrich at 69.5%
89 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Robert Jamrich 1–1 Radek Muller Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jamrich beat Muller 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jamrich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1467 vs Muller 1440
Jamrich
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 100% vs Muller 20%
Jamrich
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 70% vs Muller 40%
Jamrich
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich +5 · Muller -1
Jamrich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jamrich) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muller form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 1.80 / Muller 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jamrich)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13098087
Jamrich1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 11 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Muller1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 19 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJamrich1wins
AwayMuller1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJamrichMullerJ − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.535.5−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 299 vs 168 / 33545.5%50.2%136 / 299 vs 168 / 335Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JamrichJamrich 1.80/Muller 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jamrich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich—11118113R. Muller—741191
LAug 12 · 10:55R. Jamrich—681111R. Muller—11117113
R. Jamrich10
WSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113WSep 8 · 07:25P. Chlumsky1.839870R. Jamrich1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113
R. Muller10
LSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530LSep 8 · 06:55J. Srnka1.8071111143R. Muller1.911194121LSep 7 · 10:04R. Muller1.836470M. Filipek1.831111113LSep 7 · 08:55R. Muller1.91111111472D. Pasek1.80139911113WSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471LSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163LSep 1 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.00781112133R. Muller1.731111910112WSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781
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