TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152375
Played Sep 18Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116101212101412––
Filip Marat
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Filip Marat below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 87 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Robert Jamrich at 58.6%
87 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 16–16 Filip Marat Dead even across their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jamrich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-16 in 32
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1411 vs Marat 1448
Marat
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 100% vs Marat 40%
Jamrich
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 80% vs Marat 40%
Jamrich
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich +7 · Marat -1
Jamrich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jamrich) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marat form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 1.80 / Marat 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jamrich)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13152375
Jamrich1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 08) · back after a break
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite47% won 8 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Marat1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 45 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back39% 25 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back22% 7 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJamrich4wins
AwayMarat6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMarat leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrich60%3 of 5
AwayMarat80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich5Marat5n = 10split evenly
S2Jamrich4Marat6n = 10Marat took 6 of 10
S3Jamrich6Marat4n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S4Jamrich3Marat6n = 9Marat took 6 of 9
S5Jamrich3Marat4n = 7Marat took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJamrichMaratJ − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.944.2+0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichMaratBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 290 vs 236 / 53045.5%44.5%132 / 290 vs 236 / 530Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JamrichJamrich 1.80/Marat 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jamrich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 18:00R. Jamrich184590F. Marat331111113
WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich47111012143F. Marat4061210121
LAug 19 · 11:25R. Jamrich53111581182F. Marat551313117113
WJul 22 · 14:14R. Jamrich53139118123F. Marat511111811102
LJul 22 · 12:25R. Jamrich4611811882F. Marat44411711113
LApr 7 · 17:24R. Jamrich4687111192F. Marat50111198113
LApr 7 · 16:20R. Jamrich378411141F. Marat4711119163
WMar 12 · 15:05R. Jamrich511111810113F. Marat3883111242
WMar 12 · 12:25R. Jamrich47911115113F. Marat3611381132
LMar 11 · 13:55R. Jamrich511111109102F. Marat48491211123
R. Jamrich10
WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133WSep 8 · 10:25R. Jamrich1.8011811173R. Muller1.919118151WSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113
F. Marat10
WSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 17:25J. Dvorak1.7311118113F. Marat2.00861171WSep 18 · 16:25F. Marat2.385121111113D. Tichy1.5311146432LSep 17 · 14:40M. Filipek1.831111113F. Marat1.834990WSep 17 · 13:25L. Moravec1.4011451172F. Marat2.75811119113WSep 17 · 12:25F. Marat1.83128145123A. Kral1.8310111211102LSep 17 · 10:55M. Filipek2.00118119133F. Marat1.73711511112LSep 14 · 10:05F. Marat2.104780R. Muller1.651111113LSep 14 · 09:25F. Marat2.009111101A. Kral1.7311911123WSep 14 · 07:55R. Muller1.61810111162F. Marat2.20111292113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.