TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155652
Played Sep 19Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117911114––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 77.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 8–32 Oleh Torianyk Ihor Dubinin has won 8 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Torianyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-32 in 40
Torianyk
Wrong
gap of 24 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dubinin 1393 vs Torianyk 1602
Torianyk
Wrong
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dubinin 20% vs Torianyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dubinin 30% vs Torianyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dubinin +1 · Torianyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 3.50 / Torianyk 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Torianyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155652
Dubinin3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Torianyk1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 99 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it83% 74 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDubinin2wins
AwayTorianyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDubinin50%2 of 4
AwayTorianyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dubinin4Torianyk6n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S2Dubinin5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Dubinin2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Dubinin0Torianyk6n = 6Torianyk took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDubininTorianykD − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.239.5−7.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 444 vs 282 / 50650%55.7%222 / 444 vs 282 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykDubinin 3.50/Torianyk 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.5%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dubinin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin196760O. Torianyk331111113
LJul 31 · 15:00I. Dubinin32811671O. Torianyk3911611113
WJul 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin371411123O. Torianyk29127100
LJul 8 · 13:30I. Dubinin381196121O. Torianyk4481111143
LJul 3 · 15:00I. Dubinin30861151O. Torianyk4111118113
LJun 20 · 12:00I. Dubinin2881190O. Torianyk351113113
LJun 9 · 15:00I. Dubinin46111410292O. Torianyk537121211113
LMay 19 · 16:00I. Dubinin30411691O. Torianyk3811511113
WMay 12 · 12:00I. Dubinin45121173123O. Torianyk501081111102
LMay 6 · 15:00I. Dubinin176380O. Torianyk331111113
I. Dubinin10
WSep 19 · 17:04I. Dubinin2.7511911113D. Tsys1.40611661WSep 19 · 15:00D. Tsys1.2881111762I. Dubinin3.5011751193LSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 19 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.22101111193I. Dubinin4.001268171LSep 17 · 17:13R. Hryhoriev1.73111111113I. Dubinin2.00881331LSep 17 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40117411123I. Dubinin2.75411118102LSep 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.7351151192R. Hryhoriev2.00118116113WSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113LSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492
O. Torianyk10
LSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461WSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762LSep 13 · 10:10O. Torianyk2.3811371282S. Bului1.537111110113LSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113LSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661WSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113WSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113
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