TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116735
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119911411211
Oleh Torianyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeOleksii Tiutiunnyk to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 86 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Oleksii Tiutiunnyk at 70.4%
86 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 16–3 Oleh Torianyk Oleh Torianyk has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1579 vs Torianyk 1600
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 20% vs Torianyk 60%
Torianyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 10% vs Torianyk 50%
Torianyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk -1 · Torianyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.36 / Torianyk 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116735
Tiutiunnyk1.36
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 12 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Torianyk3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 52 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back31% 20 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk8wins
AwayTorianyk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk100%7 of 7
AwayTorianyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk7Torianyk3n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk8Torianyk2n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk8Torianyk2n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk3Torianyk2n = 5Tiutiunnyk took 3 of 5
S5Tiutiunnyk1Torianyk2n = 3Torianyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykTorianykTiutiunnyk − TorianykBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.930.9+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 103 vs 282 / 50947.6%55.4%49 / 103 vs 282 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.36/Torianyk 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 08:30O. Tiutiunnyk42311111072O. Torianyk48118612113
LJul 4 · 14:00O. Tiutiunnyk3644111162O. Torianyk48111178113
WApr 12 · 10:35O. Tiutiunnyk3911611113O. Torianyk31611771
WApr 12 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk341211113O. Torianyk2110740
WApr 11 · 17:29O. Tiutiunnyk351113113O. Torianyk2281130
WApr 11 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk28121152O. Torianyk27106111
WJan 31 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk4041114113O. Torianyk371181261
WOct 25 · 09:30O. Tiutiunnyk491111106113O. Torianyk4569121172
WOct 5 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk331111113O. Torianyk166550
WOct 4 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk331111113O. Torianyk144550
O. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541LJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162LJul 4 · 12:30S. Bului1.5711811123O. Tiutiunnyk2.255113101
O. Torianyk10
WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072WJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162
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