TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116626
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleh Torianyk
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411116116116––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 66 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 70.3%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 52–40 Petr Kolesnik Petr Kolesnik has won 40 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-40 in 92
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 12 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1605 vs Kolesnik 1482
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 40% vs Kolesnik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 50% vs Kolesnik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -2 · Kolesnik -3
Kolesnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Torianyk) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 1.40 / Kolesnik 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Torianyk)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116626
Torianyk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 107 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it97% 63 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Kolesnik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk9wins
AwayKolesnik1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianyk100%9 of 9
AwayKolesnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk9Kolesnik1n = 10Torianyk took 9 of 10
S2Torianyk9Kolesnik1n = 10Torianyk took 9 of 10
S3Torianyk8Kolesnik2n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Torianyk1Kolesnik2n = 3Kolesnik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykKolesnikT − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.924.2+11.7per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 508 vs 185 / 32755.3%56.6%281 / 508 vs 185 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTorianyk 1.40/Kolesnik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 05:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik178630
WAug 27 · 05:00O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik219570
LAug 26 · 16:00O. Torianyk381071291P. Kolesnik44121110113
WAug 22 · 06:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik183960
WAug 21 · 10:29O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik134360
WAug 21 · 09:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik163850
WAug 20 · 15:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik179440
WAug 14 · 13:30O. Torianyk4011117113P. Kolesnik28721181
WJul 16 · 10:06O. Torianyk50141159113P. Kolesnik46128111142
WJul 16 · 05:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik229760
O. Torianyk10
LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990
P. Kolesnik10
WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591122M. Levytskii1.4011601LSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891
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