TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117676
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleh Torianyk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012410––––
Serhii Bului
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-10
Point 58 set 3, 4-10 — our read held Serhii Bului at 54.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 4–7 Serhii Bului Oleh Torianyk has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bului
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Bului
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1616 vs Bului 1724
Bului
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 60% vs Bului 100%
Bului
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 60% vs Bului 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -1 · Bului +5
Bului
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bului) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 2.20 / Bului 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bului)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13117676
Torianyk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 52 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back31% 20 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Bului1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite83% won 40 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk3wins
AwayBului7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBului77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk1Bului9n = 10Bului took 9 of 10
S2Torianyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S3Torianyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S4Torianyk3Bului3n = 6split evenly
S5Torianyk1Bului2n = 3Bului took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykBuluiT − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.339.1−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 507 vs 97 / 20155.4%48.3%281 / 507 vs 97 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiTorianyk 2.20/Bului 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk48611111192S. Bului48115813113
WAug 15 · 06:00O. Torianyk4181111113S. Bului36118981
WJul 31 · 14:00O. Torianyk45611611113S. Bului4611911782
LJul 5 · 09:30O. Torianyk2210570S. Bului341211113
LJul 4 · 17:33O. Torianyk237880S. Bului331111113
LJul 4 · 15:30O. Torianyk371191161S. Bului4313118113
LApr 5 · 05:30O. Torianyk157530S. Bului331111113
LApr 4 · 16:00O. Torianyk32515841S. Bului46111311113
WJan 31 · 17:00O. Torianyk341112113S. Bului2781090
LDec 14 · 06:00O. Torianyk3692111132S. Bului45111157113
O. Torianyk10
LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113
S. Bului10
WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691
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