TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12161614
Played Jul 5Finished
Serhii Bului
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911411116118
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Oleksii Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8
89 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 12–4 Oleksii Tiutiunnyk Oleksii Tiutiunnyk has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Bului)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 1.40 / Tiutiunnyk 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Bului)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12161614
Bului1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite79% won 51 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Tiutiunnyk2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 4 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBului8wins
AwayTiutiunnyk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBului88.9%8 of 9
AwayTiutiunnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului9Tiutiunnyk1n = 10Bului took 9 of 10
S2Bului5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Bului6Tiutiunnyk4n = 10Bului took 6 of 10
S4Bului4Tiutiunnyk3n = 7Bului took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuluiTiutiunnykB − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.633.2+6.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 158 vs 83 / 15051.3%55.3%81 / 158 vs 83 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiBului 1.40/Tiutiunnyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului46119411113O. Tiutiunnyk4371111682
WJul 4 · 12:30S. Bului4211811123O. Tiutiunnyk295113101
WMay 17 · 07:30S. Bului341112113O. Tiutiunnyk2781090
WMay 16 · 17:43S. Bului3911611113O. Tiutiunnyk34811871
WMay 16 · 15:00S. Bului331111113O. Tiutiunnyk167630
LMar 29 · 10:00S. Bului4211810131O. Tiutiunnyk4571112153
WMar 29 · 05:00S. Bului4111118113O. Tiutiunnyk28451181
WMar 28 · 13:30S. Bului351311113O. Tiutiunnyk2311660
LFeb 1 · 10:00S. Bului357611111O. Tiutiunnyk4311118133
WJan 31 · 13:00S. Bului49111197113O. Tiutiunnyk4498111152
S. Bului10
WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541LJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162LJul 4 · 12:30S. Bului1.5711811123O. Tiutiunnyk2.255113101WMay 17 · 10:34O. Tiutiunnyk1.8012711123P. Kolesnik1.9110118101LMay 17 · 09:00V. Komar1.331111113O. Tiutiunnyk3.256190
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.