TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12154888
Played Jul 4Finished
Serhii Bului
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111131210––
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Oleksii Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10
71 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 10–4 Oleksii Tiutiunnyk Oleksii Tiutiunnyk has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bului)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 1.57 / Tiutiunnyk 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Bului)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12154888
Bului1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite75% won 41 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Tiutiunnyk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBului7wins
AwayTiutiunnyk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBului87.5%7 of 8
AwayTiutiunnykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului8Tiutiunnyk2n = 10Bului took 8 of 10
S2Bului7Tiutiunnyk3n = 10Bului took 7 of 10
S3Bului5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Bului4Tiutiunnyk3n = 7Bului took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuluiTiutiunnykB − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.134.9+5.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 148 vs 83 / 14248%58.5%71 / 148 vs 83 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiBului 1.57/Tiutiunnyk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 17 · 07:30S. Bului341112113O. Tiutiunnyk2781090
WMay 16 · 17:43S. Bului3911611113O. Tiutiunnyk34811871
WMay 16 · 15:00S. Bului331111113O. Tiutiunnyk167630
LMar 29 · 10:00S. Bului4211810131O. Tiutiunnyk4571112153
WMar 29 · 05:00S. Bului4111118113O. Tiutiunnyk28451181
WMar 28 · 13:30S. Bului351311113O. Tiutiunnyk2311660
LFeb 1 · 10:00S. Bului357611111O. Tiutiunnyk4311118133
WJan 31 · 13:00S. Bului49111197113O. Tiutiunnyk4498111152
LJan 25 · 06:00S. Bului51911111192O. Tiutiunnyk51117139113
WJan 24 · 18:05S. Bului4212118113O. Tiutiunnyk381091181
S. Bului10
WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541LJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162WMay 17 · 10:34O. Tiutiunnyk1.8012711123P. Kolesnik1.9110118101LMay 17 · 09:00V. Komar1.331111113O. Tiutiunnyk3.256190
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