TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11903673
Played May 17Finished
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12107111181210––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10
81 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 4–4 Petr Kolesnik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.80 / Kolesnik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #11903673
Tiutiunnyk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kolesnik1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk4wins
AwayKolesnik4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk80%4 of 5
AwayKolesnik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk5Kolesnik3n = 8Tiutiunnyk took 5 of 8
S2Tiutiunnyk5Kolesnik3n = 8Tiutiunnyk took 5 of 8
S3Tiutiunnyk2Kolesnik5n = 8Kolesnik took 5 of 8
S4Tiutiunnyk2Kolesnik3n = 5Kolesnik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykKolesnikT − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match37.536.6+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 141 vs 186 / 33858.2%55%82 / 141 vs 186 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.80/Kolesnik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LMay 17 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk—2P. Kolesnik—3
WMay 16 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk—3P. Kolesnik—2
LApr 12 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk—1P. Kolesnik—3
WApr 11 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk—3P. Kolesnik—0
LJul 6 · 10:06O. Tiutiunnyk—0P. Kolesnik—3
LJul 6 · 09:00O. Tiutiunnyk—0P. Kolesnik—3
WJul 5 · 17:30O. Tiutiunnyk—2P. Kolesnik—0
WJul 5 · 14:00O. Tiutiunnyk—3P. Kolesnik—1
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541LJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162LJul 4 · 12:30S. Bului1.5711811123O. Tiutiunnyk2.255113101LMay 17 · 09:00V. Komar1.331111113O. Tiutiunnyk3.256190
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113WJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113WJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541
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