TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116883
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811119611811
Serhii Bului
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Bului at 64.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 4–12 Serhii Bului Oleksii Tiutiunnyk has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bului
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Bului
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1585 vs Bului 1748
Bului
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 20% vs Bului 100%
Bului
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 20% vs Bului 70%
Bului
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +1 · Bului +5
Bului
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Bului) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 2.63 / Bului 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Bului)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116883
Tiutiunnyk2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 4 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Bului1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite83% won 40 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk2wins
AwayBului8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBului88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk1Bului9n = 10Bului took 9 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S3Tiutiunnyk4Bului6n = 10Bului took 6 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk3Bului4n = 7Bului took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykBuluiT − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.239.6−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 102 vs 99 / 20348%48.8%49 / 102 vs 99 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiTiutiunnyk 2.63/Bului 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk4371111682S. Bului46119411113
LJul 4 · 12:30O. Tiutiunnyk295113101S. Bului4211811123
LMay 17 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk2781090S. Bului341112113
LMay 16 · 17:43O. Tiutiunnyk34811871S. Bului3911611113
LMay 16 · 15:00O. Tiutiunnyk167630S. Bului331111113
WMar 29 · 10:00O. Tiutiunnyk4571112153S. Bului4211810131
LMar 29 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk28451181S. Bului4111118113
LMar 28 · 13:30O. Tiutiunnyk2311660S. Bului351311113
WFeb 1 · 10:00O. Tiutiunnyk4311118133S. Bului357611111
LJan 31 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk4498111152S. Bului49111197113
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541LJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162LJul 4 · 12:30S. Bului1.5711811123O. Tiutiunnyk2.255113101WMay 17 · 10:34O. Tiutiunnyk1.8012711123P. Kolesnik1.9110118101
S. Bului10
WSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100WJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682WJul 4 · 12:30S. Bului1.5711811123O. Tiutiunnyk2.255113101
Upcoming Matches
O. Tiutiunnyk
S. Bului
Nothing scheduled
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