TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116934
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Bului
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311117––––
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 61 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Bului at 60.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 14–4 Myhailo Levytskii Myhailo Levytskii has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bului
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-4 in 18
Bului
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bului 1735 vs Levytskii 1695
Bului
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bului 100% vs Levytskii 40%
Bului
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bului 60% vs Levytskii 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bului +5 · Levytskii -1
Bului
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bului)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 1.57 / Levytskii 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Bului)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116934
Bului1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite83% won 40 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Levytskii2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 9 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBului9wins
AwayLevytskii1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBului85.7%6 of 7
AwayLevytskii0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului7Levytskii3n = 10Bului took 7 of 10
S2Bului5Levytskii5n = 10split evenly
S3Bului7Levytskii3n = 10Bului took 7 of 10
S4Bului5Levytskii3n = 8Bului took 5 of 8
S5Bului4Levytskii0n = 4Bului took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuluiLevytskiiB − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.634.3+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 202 vs 161 / 29548.5%54.6%98 / 202 vs 161 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiBului 1.57/Levytskii 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului48127117113M. Levytskii41101131162
WAug 22 · 06:00S. Bului49791111113M. Levytskii3611113832
WMay 17 · 08:30S. Bului49711119113M. Levytskii4111961142
LMar 29 · 09:00S. Bului351176111M. Levytskii4491111133
WMar 29 · 06:30S. Bului331111113M. Levytskii198650
WMar 28 · 15:30S. Bului47861111113M. Levytskii3911116652
WMar 15 · 06:30S. Bului3911134113M. Levytskii325111151
WMar 14 · 17:00S. Bului341113103M. Levytskii2671180
WMar 7 · 07:30S. Bului3911611113M. Levytskii29311871
WMar 6 · 16:30S. Bului4311129113M. Levytskii369101161
S. Bului10
WSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191
M. Levytskii10
LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591122M. Levytskii1.4011601LSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472WSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162LAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113
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