TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121249
Played Sep 12Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10129111311611––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 83 set 4, 6-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 40–52 Oleh Torianyk Petr Kolesnik has won 40 of their 92 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Torianyk beat Kolesnik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 3.25 / Torianyk 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Torianyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121249
Kolesnik3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Torianyk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 107 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it97% 63 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnik1wins
AwayTorianyk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTorianyk100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik1Torianyk9n = 10Torianyk took 9 of 10
S2Kolesnik1Torianyk9n = 10Torianyk took 9 of 10
S3Kolesnik2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Kolesnik2Torianyk1n = 3Kolesnik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnikTorianykK − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match24.235.9−11.7per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 329 vs 283 / 51056.2%55.5%185 / 329 vs 283 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykKolesnik 3.25/Torianyk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 05:30P. Kolesnik178630O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 27 · 05:00P. Kolesnik219570O. Torianyk331111113
WAug 26 · 16:00P. Kolesnik44121110113O. Torianyk381071291
LAug 22 · 06:30P. Kolesnik183960O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 21 · 10:29P. Kolesnik134360O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 21 · 09:30P. Kolesnik163850O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 20 · 15:30P. Kolesnik179440O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 14 · 13:30P. Kolesnik28721181O. Torianyk4011117113
LJul 16 · 10:06P. Kolesnik46128111142O. Torianyk50141159113
LJul 16 · 05:30P. Kolesnik229760O. Torianyk331111113
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123
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