TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13147746
Played Sep 17Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181181113113––
Ihor Dubinin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 76 set 4, 11-3
76 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 37–39 Ihor Dubinin Roman Hryhoriev has won 37 of their 76 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hryhoriev beat Dubinin 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hryhoriev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dubinin form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 1.73 / Dubinin 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hryhoriev)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13147746
Hryhoriev1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 22 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Dubinin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 35 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHryhoriev6wins
AwayDubinin4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHryhoriev leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhoriev66.7%2 of 3
AwayDubinin42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev3Dubinin7n = 10Dubinin took 7 of 10
S2Hryhoriev4Dubinin6n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S3Hryhoriev7Dubinin3n = 10Hryhoriev took 7 of 10
S4Hryhoriev4Dubinin3n = 7Hryhoriev took 4 of 7
S5Hryhoriev4Dubinin2n = 6Hryhoriev took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHryhorievDubininH − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.241.5−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 257 vs 225 / 44847.9%50.2%123 / 257 vs 225 / 448Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorievHryhoriev 1.73/Dubinin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hryhoriev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev47118116113I. Dubinin4151151192
WSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev54971116113I. Dubinin52111171492
WSep 10 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev49121115113I. Dubinin371441361
LSep 1 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev2839160I. Dubinin401111183
WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev521211116123I. Dubinin51148811102
LAug 17 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev228770I. Dubinin331111113
LJul 22 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev3311811122I. Dubinin45711511113
WJul 13 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev44811111133I. Dubinin43111164112
LJul 8 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev4051161172I. Dubinin48118117113
WJul 3 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev331111113I. Dubinin259880
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev3.757440P. Shulhachyk1.251111113WSep 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.7351151192R. Hryhoriev2.00118116113LSep 17 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.441111133R. Hryhoriev2.6349110WSep 17 · 12:30N. Priadko2.1017101161R. Hryhoriev1.6719126113WSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492LSep 10 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.441110511113R. Hryhoriev2.6321211882LSep 10 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.00661181V. Simchuk1.7311115113WSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113
I. Dubinin10
LSep 17 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40117411123I. Dubinin2.75411118102LSep 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.7351151192R. Hryhoriev2.00118116113WSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113LSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492WSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133LSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102WSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113
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