TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155906
Played Sep 19Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118117911611
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 66.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 41–54 Oleh Torianyk Petr Kolesnik has won 41 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-54 in 95
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 13 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnik 1537 vs Torianyk 1614
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 60% vs Torianyk 20%
Kolesnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 30% vs Torianyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik -1 · Torianyk -4
Torianyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 2.63 / Torianyk 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Torianyk)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155906
Kolesnik2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 13)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 21 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Torianyk1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 99 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it83% 74 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnik2wins
AwayTorianyk8wins
Torianyk leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTorianyk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S2Kolesnik2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S3Kolesnik2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Kolesnik2Torianyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnikTorianykK − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match25.335.2−9.9per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 335 vs 281 / 50456.1%55.8%188 / 335 vs 281 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykKolesnik 2.63/Torianyk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 09:00P. Kolesnik4071111113O. Torianyk34117881
LSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik381091361O. Torianyk45121111113
LSep 12 · 15:00P. Kolesnik29116661O. Torianyk3741111113
LAug 28 · 05:30P. Kolesnik178630O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 27 · 05:00P. Kolesnik219570O. Torianyk331111113
WAug 26 · 16:00P. Kolesnik44121110113O. Torianyk381071291
LAug 22 · 06:30P. Kolesnik183960O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 21 · 10:29P. Kolesnik134360O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 21 · 09:30P. Kolesnik163850O. Torianyk331111113
LAug 20 · 15:30P. Kolesnik179440O. Torianyk331111113
P. Kolesnik10
WSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113WSep 13 · 07:30S. Bului1.4041111882P. Kolesnik2.75117711113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112
O. Torianyk10
LSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762LSep 13 · 10:10O. Torianyk2.3811371282S. Bului1.537111110113LSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113LSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661WSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113WSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103
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