TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121808
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191311––––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr Kolesnik to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 63 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Petr Kolesnik at 58.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 4–6 Petr Kolesnik Oleksii Tiutiunnyk has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolesnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kolesnik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1559 vs Kolesnik 1463
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 20% vs Kolesnik 0%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 10% vs Kolesnik 30%
Kolesnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk -2 · Kolesnik -5
Kolesnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 2.20 / Kolesnik 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kolesnik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121808
Tiutiunnyk2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Kolesnik1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 83 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 65 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk4wins
AwayKolesnik6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolesnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk80%4 of 5
AwayKolesnik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk5Kolesnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Tiutiunnyk5Kolesnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Tiutiunnyk3Kolesnik7n = 10Kolesnik took 7 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk2Kolesnik4n = 6Kolesnik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykKolesnikT − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.4−2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 104 vs 185 / 33047.1%56.1%49 / 104 vs 185 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikTiutiunnyk 2.20/Kolesnik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk175390P. Kolesnik331111113
LJul 4 · 15:00O. Tiutiunnyk361611541P. Kolesnik4918911113
WMay 17 · 10:34O. Tiutiunnyk4212711123P. Kolesnik3910118101
LMay 17 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk4411711782P. Kolesnik45811411113
WMay 16 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk521111118113P. Kolesnik4483131192
LApr 12 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk31511781P. Kolesnik4111811113
WApr 11 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk331111113P. Kolesnik217770
LJul 6 · 10:06O. Tiutiunnyk31121270P. Kolesnik391414113
LJul 6 · 09:00O. Tiutiunnyk2281040P. Kolesnik341112113
WJul 5 · 14:00O. Tiutiunnyk4011117113P. Kolesnik29741171
O. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113LSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541LJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk4.00111178113O. Tiutiunnyk1.2244111162
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113WJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541
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